An investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize that they are the same.
Copy Quote View & ShareIt's nonsense to say money doesn't buy happiness, but people exaggerate the extent to which more money can buy more happiness.
Copy Quote View & ShareYou know, the standard state for people is 'mildly pleasant.' Negative emotions are quite rare, and extremely positive emotions are rare. But people are mildly pleased most of the time, they're mildly tired a lot of the time, and they wish they were somewhere else a substantial part of the time - but mostly they're mildly pleased.
Copy Quote View & ShareHappiness is determined by factors like your health, your family relationships and friendships, and above all by feeling that you are in control of how you spend your time.
Copy Quote View & ShareHappiness is determined by factors like your health, your family relationships and friendships, and above all by feeling that you are in control of how you spend your time.
Copy Quote View & SharePeople just hate the idea of losing. Any loss, even a small one, is just so terrible to contemplate that they compensate by buying insurance, including totally absurd policies like air travel.
Copy Quote View & ShareWhen you analyze happiness, it turns out that the way you spend your time is extremely important.
Copy Quote View & ShareHappiness is determined by factors like your health, your family relationships and friendships, and above all by feeling that you are in control of how you spend your time.
Copy Quote View & ShareIf people do not know what is going to make them better off or give them pleasure, then the idea that you can trust people to do what will give them pleasure becomes questionable.
Copy Quote View & ShareTrue intuitive expertise is learned from prolonged experience with good feedback on mistakes.
Copy Quote View & ShareBy their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.
Copy Quote View & ShareAn investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize that they are the same.
Copy Quote View & ShareIt's a wonderful thing to be optimistic. It keeps you healthy and it keeps you resilient.
Copy Quote View & ShareCourage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.
Copy Quote View & ShareBy their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.
Copy Quote View & ShareExcept for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.
Copy Quote View & ShareAn investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize that they are the same.
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